Category Archives: Manilla NSW

3-year trends to April 2012

Posted in 3-year climate trends, Manilla NSW by

Parametric plots of smoothed climate variables at Manilla

“April 2012 like winter 2011”Trends to April 2012.

New raw data for April 2012 anomalies are quite similar to the smoothed values for winter 2011 for all variables but one: subsoil temperature is very high, as it has not been since March 2007.
As in winter 2011, most anomalies are near zero, but skies are very cloudy and, paradoxically, Dew Points are very low.

Record rainfall anomaly

Fully-smoothed data points for October 2011 include a new 13-year record high monthly rainfall anomaly of +38.6 mm (first graph). This beats the record set the previous month by 10 mm, but it will be beaten the following month by a similar margin. Smoothed rainfall anomalies in the last months of 2011 will be well over twice as high as those in the last months of 2010.

Note: Fully smoothed data – Gaussian smoothing with half-width 6 months – are plotted in red, partly smoothed data uncoloured, and raw data for the last data point in orange. January data points are marked by squares. Blue diamonds and the dashed blue rectangle show the extreme values in the fully smoothed data record since September 1999.

April 2012 cloudy and wet

Posted in Manilla NSW, Monthly weather by

The daily weather logWeather log April 2012.

Most days had normal temperatures, but several were cool and overcast. Cold nights came during sunny spells, the coldest, on the 11th, being nine degrees below normal, but not a frost. Rain totalling 58.2 mm fell on seven rain days, mainly late in the month, with a maximum reading of 14.2 mm on the 24th.

 Comparing April monthsClimate April 2012.

All the mean temperatures were near normal, except that subsoil temperature was the highest for April on this record: 2.1 degrees above normal.

There were more cloudy days than recorded in earlier Aprils.
The rainfall total of 58.2 mm is well above the April average of 39.3 mm: it is in the 80th percentile. The total for March and April taken together (73.6 mm) is exactly on the average. As in March, totals for periods from five months to twenty-four months are still near record high values, and no totals up to the thirty-year total are below normal.

Data. Rainfall data is from Manilla Post Office, courtesy of Phil Pinch. Temperatures, including subsoil at 750 mm, and other data are from 3 Monash Street, Manilla.

 

3-year trends to March 2012

Posted in 3-year climate trends, Manilla NSW by

Parametric plots of smoothed climate variables at Manilla

“Retreat from cold wet extreme”Trends to March 2012.

New raw data for March 2012 anomalies show a retreat from low extremes towards normal for maximum and minimum temperatures, and temperature range. Rainfall (perhaps temporarily) moved to negative to positive, and subsoil temperature from negative to positive. Cloudiness remained very high, and Dew Point very low.

Fully-smoothed data points for September 2011 include a new 13-year record high monthly rainfall anomaly of +28.6 mm (first graph). This beats the record of +20.0 mm set in November 2005. The new record is sure to be beaten by October and November 2011 when their values can be smoothed.

Although the smoothed value for maximum temperature anomaly in September 2011 was not very low, the smoothed value for December 2011 may reach a record low.

Note: Fully smoothed data – Gaussian smoothing with half-width 6 months – are plotted in red, partly smoothed data uncoloured, and raw data for the last data point in orange. January data points are marked by squares. Blue diamonds and the dashed blue rectangle show the extreme values in the fully smoothed data record since September 1999.

March 2012 a bit dry and cool

Posted in Manilla NSW, Monthly weather by

The daily weather logWeather log March 2012

Apart from a cold snap about the 9th, March was just a little cooler than usual. There were four rain days, with a maximum reading less than 7 mm. Late in the month, the weather was showery, but none of that rain fell here.

 Comparing March monthsClimate March 2012.

All the mean temperatures, and the Dew Point, were about a degree low. However, this month was not nearly as cold or as dry as March 2008, which had only 2.2 mm of rain, and barely escaped a frost.
The month was very cloudy, but not as cloudy as last year. The subsoil was very warm.
The rainfall total of 15.4 mm is well below the March average of 53.3 mm. It is in the 26th percentile: about one quarter of all March months have been drier than this one. This rather low reading hardly affects the high totals for groups of months. Totals for periods from five months to twenty-four months are still near record high values. No totals up to the thirty-year total are below normal.

Data. Rainfall data is from Manilla Post Office, courtesy of Phil Pinch. Temperatures, including subsoil at 750 mm, and other data are from 3 Monash Street, Manilla.

 

2011-12 Summer Cold and Wet

Posted in Manilla NSW, Season Weather by

Weather log summer 2011-12.In the whole of this summer, only 3 days went over 35° (usually 23) and only 5 nights went over 20° (usually 19).

The smoothed curves of temperature reached up as high as normal only twice. In early January both days and nights were normal. Later, with persistent rain around the 1st of February, nights warmed to normal, but days were extremely cold.
All the mean daily temperatures were the lowest in 13 summers: maximum 28.9°, mean 22.2°, and minimum 15.4°. Summer ’07-’08 had been just slightly warmer.
Daily temperature range this summer (13.5°) was very narrow, as in ’07-’08 and ’10-’11; all wet summers with very cloudy skies. Strangely, this cloudy wet summer had very low humidity, with morning Dew Point (12.7°) the lowest on this record.
While this was a very wet summer, at 333 mm, it was only the 19th wettest (86th percentile), and not much wetter than summers 4, 6, and 8 years ago.Climate summer 2011-12.

Data. Rainfall data is from Manilla Post Office, courtesy of Phil Pinch. Temperatures, including subsoil at 750 mm, and other data are from 3 Monash Street, Manilla.