Tag Archives: trends

November Climate Anomalies Log

Posted in 21st-century climate, Calendar month anomalies, Climate Change, Manilla NSW by

Heat indicators log for November

This post is the ninth in a set for the 12 calendar months that began with March. Graphs are sixteen-year logs of the monthly mean anomaly values of nine climate variables for Manilla, NSW, with fitted trend lines. I have explained the method in notes at the foot of the page.

Raw anomaly values for November

Extreme values of November anomalies were as follows:

Daily Maximum Temperature Anomalies (4) +3.6 deg: November 2002; +5.5 deg: November 2009; +3.0 deg: November 2012; +5.0 deg: November 2014;
Daily Mean Temperature Anomalies (2) +4.6 deg: November 2009; +4.0 deg: November 2014;
Daily Minimum Temperature Anomalies (1) +3.8 deg: November 2009;
Rainfall Anomalies (4) +65 mm: November 2000; +66 mm: November 2001; +65 mm: November 2008: +176 mm!: November 2011;
Dew Point Anomalies (2) -5.4 deg: November 2013; -4.1 deg: November 2014;
Moisture Index (1) +3.3 deg: November 2011.

Trend lines for November

Heat Indicators

All heat indicator quartic trends began low and ended high. The trends for daily maximum and for subsoil had a peak in 2003 or 2004 and a trough in 2008 or 2010. The trend for daily mean was constant from 2004 to 2008, while the trend for daily minimum persistently rose, at a reducing rate.

Moisture indicators log for November

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October Climate Anomalies Log

Posted in 21st-century climate, Calendar month anomalies, Climate Change, Manilla NSW by

Heat Indicators log for October months

This post is the eighth in a set for the 12 calendar months that began with March. Graphs are sixteen-year logs of the monthly mean anomaly values of nine climate variables for Manilla, NSW, with fitted trend lines. I have explained the method in notes at the foot of the page.

This series of posts gets more than its share of views. This is strange, as they contain little information. Comparing graphs for adjacent months shows widely different values and trends. In due course, I will compare all twelve months with each other. Perhaps that will yield interesting results, or perhaps not.

Raw anomaly values for October

Extreme values of October anomalies in this period were all in the “Moisture Indicators” group:

Cloudy days % anomalies (2) +31%: October 2010, 2011;
Dew Point Anomalies (5) +3.9°: October 1999, -3.9°: October 2002, -6.6°: October 2012, -7.8°: October 2013, -5.9°: October 2014.
Moisture Index (2) -3.1°: October 2012, -3.2°: October 2013.

Trend lines for October

Heat Indicators

The trend lines of daily maximum, mean and minimum temperature anomalies all had an early trough in 2001, a peak near 2006, and a trough near 2011. The daily minimum trend had the longer period and the larger amplitude. The subsoil temperature trend peaked early, in 2001, and had a very broad trough around 2009.

Moisture Indicators log for October months

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September Climate Anomalies Log

Posted in 21st-century climate, Calendar month anomalies, Climate Change, Manilla NSW by

Heat Indicators log for September months

This post is the seventh in a set for the 12 calendar months that began with March. Graphs are sixteen-year logs of the monthly mean anomaly values of nine climate variables for Manilla, NSW, with fitted trend lines. I have explained the method in notes at the foot of the page.

Raw anomaly values for September

Extreme values of September anomalies in this period were all in the “Moisture Indicators” group:

Temperature range anomaly (minus) +3.6 deg: September 2010;
Cloudy days % anomaly +33%: September 2010;
Dew Point Anomalies (4) -3.8 deg: September 2011, -4.7 deg: September 2012, -4.9 deg: September 2013, -4.1 deg: September 2014.

Trend lines for September

Heat Indicators

The trend of daily maximum temperature anomalies was concave, with a minimum at 2007. The trend of mean temperature anomalies was similar, but less concave. The trend of minimum temperature anomaly was almost straight, but had a weak maximum in 2008 and ended low. The subsoil temperature anomaly trend was parallel to that of the daily maximum, but higher.

Moisture Indicators log for September months

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August Climate Anomalies Log

Posted in 21st-century climate, Calendar month anomalies, Climate Change, Manilla NSW by

Heat Indicators log for August months

This post is the sixth in a set for the 12 calendar months. Graphs are sixteen-year logs of the monthly mean anomaly values of nine climate variables for Manilla, NSW, with fitted trend lines. I have explained the method in notes at the foot of the page.

Raw anomaly values for August

Extreme values of August anomalies in this period were:

Temperature range anomaly (minus) +4.1 deg: August 2010;
Dew Point Anomaly -4.5 deg: August 2012.

Trend lines for August

Heat Indicators

The trend of mean temperature anomalies was almost constant. The trend of daily maximum temperature anomalies was almost constant, but had a weak minimum at 2007. The trend of minimum temperature anomaly had a weak minimum in 2001 and a weak maximum in 2010. The subsoil temperature anomaly trend ended very high, after a weak minimum in 2005.

Moisture Indicators log for August months

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July Climate Anomalies Log

Posted in 21st-century climate, Calendar month anomalies, Climate Change, Manilla NSW by

Heat Indicators log for June months

This post is the fifth in a set for the 12 calendar months. Graphs are sixteen-year logs of the monthly mean anomaly values of nine climate variables for Manilla, NSW, with fitted trend lines. I have explained the method in notes at the foot of the page.

Raw anomaly values for July

Extreme values of July anomalies in this period were:

Subsoil Temperature anomaly +3.2 deg: July 2012;
Temperature range anomaly (minus) -3.2 deg: July 2002;
Dew Point Anomaly +3.3 deg: July 1999;
Dew Point Anomaly -3.8 deg: July 2002.

Trend lines for July

Heat Indicators

The trend of mean temperature anomalies fell below zero in 2003 then rose to +1 by 2014.
The trend of daily maximum temperature anomalies fell more slowly to -0.5 in 2007, then rose to meet the mean in 2014. The trend of minimum temperature anomaly reached an early minimum in 2002. It rose to a broad peak (+1.4) in 2010, then declined. The subsoil temperature anomaly trend was slightly low in 2004 and very high (+1.9) in 2013.Moisture Indicators log for July months

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