3-year trends to June 2010

Parametric plots of smoothed climate variables at Manilla
“Back from a very mild drought.”

Trends to June 2010

Raw data for June 2010 (orange) are mainly near the smoothed values for January 2009, 17 months earlier. As an exception, the minimum temperature anomaly was very high, making the daily temperature range very low.

The last fully-smoothed data point, December 2009 (red), had hot days with a slightly lower daily maximum temperature anomaly than the record set the month before. Rainfall anomaly during this “drought” peak was not very low at all (-16 mm). Other variables for November 2009 were near normal, except daily minimum temperature anomaly, which was a record high value of +1.31 degrees.

Note:
Fully smoothed data – Gaussian smoothing with half-width 6 months – are plotted in red, partly smoothed data uncoloured, and raw data for the last data point in orange. January data points are marked by squares.
Blue diamonds and the dashed blue rectangle show the extreme values in the fully smoothed data record since September 1999.

June 2010 Weather on Average

The daily weather log

Weather log June 2010

Twice the weather cycled from warm, through rain, to sunny and cold. There were 10 frosty mornings, ending with a minimum down to -3.1°. While frostier than last June, which had only 5 frosts, it was less frosty than June 2006 (21 frosts) or June 2000, which had five mornings below -4°.
A modest rainfall reading of 21.8 mm on the 3rd was the highest since December and the third highest in 12 months. Seven rain days brought 42.8 mm for the month.

 Comparing June months

Climate June 2010

All mean temperatures, Dew Point, and cloud were close to their averages. The daily maximum temperature was 0.6° down, and the daily minimum temperature 1.1° up, making the daily temperature range (13.2°) narrower than normal by 1.7°.
The rainfall of 42.8 mm is in the 57th percentile for June. It is close to the long-term average of 44 mm. In 14 months since April 2009 no month has beaten its average. All the same, groups of months show no serious rainfall shortages. Even the 15-month total (573 mm) has now risen to the 10th percentile.


Data. Rainfall data is from Manilla Post Office, courtesy of Phil Pinch. Temperatures, including subsoil at 750 mm, and other data are from 3 Monash Street, Manilla.